Panel of experts. The Lerbach Round Table celebrates its tenth anniversary. Since 2009, bankers, asset managers and family officers have met once a year to provide wealthy investors with inspiration and orientation. This year, they are not only scrutinizing the economy and capital markets. 36 proven investment experts answer the most important questions on the investment year 2020 and discuss the most exciting investment ideas and, in five workshops, also the most interesting investment…
Markets. Countries with strong growth and major challenges are attracting investor interest. The Lerbach Round sees investment opportunities both in emerging markets and in the so-called frontier markets. Your favourite: Asien.
Sustainable investments. Those who integrate aspects of sustainability into their investment processes will not only generate more returns in the future. It also helps to change the economy and society in a positive way. Because capital can move a lot.
Interest investments. In view of negative yields on German government bonds, investors will have to realign their portfolios. But can there even be a substitute for safe and liquid government bonds? And - where do investors still find reasonable returns?
Stock strategy. Equities are indispensable in portfolio allocation today - There Is No Alternative (TINA). However, not everyone can live with the higher volatility of the asset class. The Lerbacher Runde explains how investors can effectively reduce fluctuations.
Asset class Real estate. Wealthy investors and family offices are continuously expanding the proportion of real estate in their portfolios. Thomas Wiegelmann, Managing Director at Schroder Real Estate, and Morten Bennedsen, Professor of Family Business at INSEAD University, explain why an investment in real estate is attractive and how it is intelligently implemented.
Small caps. Shares in smaller companies often receive little attention from the analysts of large financial institutions. As a result, there are always particularly interesting opportunities to discover in this segment. "But a truly successful, long-term small-cap strategy requires a global and active approach and a lot of know-how," Scott Woods and Neil Robson of Columbia Threadneedle are convinced.
Stock market strategy. The expansive stance of the central banks supports the stock markets. Doch not all areas will benefit. Carolin Schulze Palstring, Head of Capital Market Analysis at Metzler Private Banking, examines the various investment segments.
Strategy. The asset manager Eyb & Wallwitz has been performing above average for institutional clients for 15 years. "Now we want to make our quality and successful asset management strategies easily accessible to even more investors," explains Eduardo Mollo Cunha, partner at Eyb & Wallwitz. His answer to the Fintech revolution is Eyb & Wallwitz digital.
Social entrepreneur. Economic development in Africa needs a new mobility concept. The entrepreneur Martin Šoltés and his colleagues have therefore developed a special electric vehicle. To improve the lives of many Africans, he seeks impact investors.
Private equity and infrastructure. "We actually specialise in secondary market funds in the private equity sector," explains Florian Dillinger, Matador Partners Group AG. But when a special opportunity presents itself, he invests in infrastructure. This combination of both asset classes has a special charm for the investment company Matador.
Selection. In a current study, the Center for Entrepreneurial and Financial Studies (CEFS) of the Technical University of Munich, on behalf of the Stiftung Familienunternehmen, investigated whether the shares of family-run companies are the better investment. The results are making investors sit up and take notice.
Microfinance. Microcredits give people in poorer countries the chance to build something up to secure their livelihood in the long term. "At the same time, microfinance offers investors ongoing interest income and a positive diversification effect at portfolio level," says Daniel Kerbach, CIO of Merck Finck Privatbankiers. This makes this asset class attractive in two respects.
Private equity in Asia. In the 21st century, Asia will dominate the world. In no other region do investors find such a combination of size and growth. Private equity is the key to unlocking this potential.
Future investments. The unavoidable damage caused by climate change and the massive changes in the transition to a low-carbon world will significantly alter investment performance both in the short and long term. Investoren should act now.
"There is a lot of hope in the Tech-Unicorns' courses", Hendrik Leber of Acatis analyses. However, hope is usually a bad advisor when it comes to investing. Investors should therefore keep their hands off it.
Stock market strategy. The dynamism of the global economy has slowed noticeably. Drohen will there be a slump in company profits and share prices in the future? Carolin Schulze Palstring, Head of Capital Market Analysis Metzler Private Banking, explores the situation.
Sonderveröffentlichung: B. Metzler seel. Sohn & Co.140
Strategy. The United Nations' sustainability goals are to be implemented by 2030. "For companies that do not support these goals, this means significant financial and reputational risks," explains David Hawa of Robeco. He and his colleagues have therefore developed a model with which investors can determine whether a company is conforming to these goals.
Art. The first Virtual Reality Museum was founded in 2016 by the Paris-based collector couple Sylvain and Dominique Levy. It manages one of the most forward-looking private collections of contemporary Chinese art in France, revolutionizing the history of the reception of art. Its history reflects the great adventure of the Levy family.
Infrastructure. Those looking for stable and high-yield investments have long been able to find interesting investment opportunities in the infrastructure sector. "We are now setting up a strategy that differs significantly from traditional funds in that it focuses on the mid-market segment and has an endless term," says Heiko Schupp, Columbia Threadneedle. "This offers a chance for higher profitability."
Modern Monetary Theory. If the state wanted to spend more to stabilize the economy, it could simply print money - at least that is the "modern" monetary theory. Is a world without a recession really conceivable? What investors should consider.
Real estate. From old to new. In times of scarce land, the revitalisation and rededication of non-essential existing buildings on the company premises can be an interesting, fascinating and lucrative idea. Dr. Klaus Trescher, Kriton Immobilien, explains what entrepreneurs and investors should look out for.
Secondary private equity. Because private equity funds have been generating double-digit returns for years, this asset class is finding more and more friends among wealthy investors. But there is still room for improvement. "Used fund shares - Secondary Private Equity - are just as yield-strong and avoid substantial disadvantages of the PE funds , make Florian Dillinger, Matador partner Group AG, clear.
Sonderveröffentlichung: Matador Partners Group AG158
Investment strategy. The stock market is an indicator of the value of an economy. If this is halved within a year, something serious must have happened. For the third time since the year 2000, Argentina is on the verge of bankruptcy. This was followed twice by a brilliant upswing with price gains for investors of between 300 and 600 percent. Can what worked twice work a third time?
Real estate. Prices on the real estate market have been rising massively for the past five years. As a result, yields - so-called cap rates - have fallen in many areas to levels that hardly cover financing and maintenance costs. Is it worth thinking about real estate investments at all now? Klaus Trescher, Kriton Immobilien, says: "Yes - but you have to find the rare occasions."
Medical technology. What would it be like if there were a way to stop disease processes directly in the individual cells and thus possibly end the suffering? The researchers of the newly founded company Soluventis Nanotherapeutics from Bochum have an idea.
Urbanization. More and more people are moving to the cities. In order for these to remain worth living, extensive investments are necessary. "This will benefit those companies that offer solutions," explains Ivo Weinöhrl, fund manager at Pictet Bank.
FinTech. Many industries have already been turned upside down by digitisation. Patrick Lemmens and Jeroen van Oerle are convinced that it is now the turn of the financial industry to Robeco. They identify winners and losers.
Panel of experts. The uncertainty on the capital markets is greater than ever before. Investors urgently need orientation. The Lerbach round gives answers to the ten most important questions zum Jahreswechsel - from stock allocation to customs disputes.
Emerging market equities were among the losers in 2018, and according to Paul Greer, Fidelity, they will continue to struggle in the coming months at mit Gegenwind . Investors should keep their powder dry.
CEOs in family businesses. Der CEO ist the most important decision maker in the company. More and more family businesses are deciding to fill this position externally as part of the succession process. Wie the family then organizes the collaboration to minimize um Konflikte? Bankhaus Merck Finck supports WHU in Vallendar with a junior professorship to answer such questions.
Genome editing. After half a century of molecular biological research, scientists can now make precise and targeted interventions in the genetic material of plants, animals and humans. What does this mean for the biotech industry? And how do investors benefit?
Interest rate trend. The decisive factor behind the declining interest rates of recent decades was a factor that was often hardly noticed - the ageing of society. If the so-called baby boomers retire from working life in the future, the glut of savings in recent years could turn into a savings squeeze. Then interest rates should tend to rise again - with considerable effects on capital investments.
Sonderveröffentlichung: B. Metzler seel. Sohn & Co.181
Business cycle. After the strong upswing of the past two years, global economic growth appears to have peaked. Is the crash following now? How likely is a recession? And how are the inflation rates, which are regarded as the decisive influencing factor for central bank policy, developing? The Lerbach Round takes a close look at the world of business from the investor's perspective.
Monetary policy. With flows of liquidity and zero interest rates, the central banks have stimulated the economy and capital markets. Now they pull the reins slowly, but surely again. What impact will this have on the prices of the various assets?
Panel of experts. The Lerbach group - bankers, asset managers and family officers - meet every early summer in Schloss Bensberg to provide investors with inspiration and orientation. In 2018 the meeting will be particularly explosive. After zehn Jahren upswing and low interest rate, monetary policy and economy seem to be on einem Wendepunkt. What happens now on the interest rate and stock markets?
"There were good fundamental reasons for the correction on the equity markets," explains Roland Kaloyan, Head of European Equity Strategy at Société Générale. "Prices could fall further until the end of 2019."
Investment idea. From the US, an investment alternative is coming to Europe that is perfect for entrepreneurial investors. The participation in Search Funds paves the way for direct investments in the most interesting medium-sized companies.
Investment strategy. Emerging market equities were already last year's winners. However, because the shares there are still relatively cheaply valued, it is interesting to further increase the positions.
Responsible investing. Sustainability in financial investments has long ceased to be a niche issue. As demand grows, so does the demand from investors for implementation. Pictet Bank's Wealth Management has therefore developed a system that enables it to meet the individual values of its clients.
Investment concepts. Strictly passive index investments have advantages and disadvantages.More and more investors are asking Darum whether it is not possible to avoid negativen Aspekte without having to forego the positive ones. This idea follows the concept of Enhanced Indexing.
Investment strategies. More and more investors are using cat bonds to diversify their portfolios. These securities function similarly to an insurance policy against natural hazards and are intended to generate interesting long-term returns independent of the capital markets. In 2017, however, the large number of natural catastrophes put prices under pressure. A warning signal? Or a chance?
Trade fairs, gallery owners and auction houses are closely interlinked in the art trade. "Each of these channels has its specific challenge - and collectors benefit," explains private-wealth art expert Florian Mercker.
Automaton. More than 150 years ago, talented mechanics began to recreate living beings in artistic automatons. These songbirds, humans and dogs master the most complicated movements and patterns. However, their performance only knows one direction - upwards.
Art fair TEFAF. Patrick van Maris has made a name for himself at Sotheby's auction house. Since 2015 he has been CEO of TEFAF, which will take place from 10 to 18 March in Maastricht. The fair has long been known for its concentration on old masters and antiques. How does he succeed in opening up to a wider range of styles? And how is he preparing for the collectors of the future?
Philanthropy. With a sub-foundation to the Merck Finck Foundation, people oriented toward the common good can achieve everything that would be possible in a legally independent foundation - only easier, cheaper and more efficient. A very special model.
Some crypto currencies will establish themselves as means of payment in the long run, says Uwe Zimmer of Fundamental Capital. "An investment in the leading digital computing units is therefore worthwhile."
Stock markets. The world economy is booming. Corporate profits are bubbling up. Interest rates are low. And the stock markets are celebrating records. Investors currently obviously live in the best of all worlds. Can it stay that way? Or are there hidden dangers? Experience shows that when superlatives are the order of the day, it is high time to talk about the risks.
Risk management. We live in the best of all worlds. Growth and, at the same time, ultra-low interest rates are causing prices to rise. But this also increases the risks. "It's like football - we have to be sure at the back to take advantage of the opportunities," smiles Armin Eiche, CEO Wealth Management Germany at private bank Pictet. It shows how investors keep risk under control.
Stock market barometer. Six years ago, Professor Rudi Zagst of the Technical University of Munich (left) developed a scientific model that measures the probability of stock market turbulence. Together with the evil professional Oliver Schlick, he is now working on transferring the information into an investment model. Science meets financial experience - the two of them could not have chosen a better moment for it.
Investment idea. If Europe wants to reach seine Klimaziele, it must reform the market for CO2 emission certificates. First steps have been taken. If the prices for these pollution rights rise in the future, financial investors will also benefit.
Euro. The ECB's monetary policy has recently pushed Italy's debt problems into the background. "But what will happen if the central bank now starts den Ausstieg from ultra-expansive politics?" asks Timo Schwietering, Head of Capital Market Analysis, Metzler Private Banking.
Sonderveröffentlichung: B. Metzler seel. Sohn & Co.112
Gift. From 1 January 2018, new rules will apply to the taxation of investment funds' capital gains. Anyone who bought equity funds before 01.01.2009 can now use these so-called old funds for a particularly lucrative Christmas present.
Private Debt. Since the financial crisis, banks have been increasingly withdrawing from lending to companies. But of course they will also need financial resources in the future. The solution to the problem is Private Debt - corporate financing through a loan from private investors. This can be very lucrative for investors. This is because private debt has attractive interest rates and attractive conditions.
Prognosis. "Strategic investing means eliminating daily noise and focusing on the key structural trends," says Lukas Daalder, CIO bei Robeco Investment Solutions. That's why he dares a five-year outlook.
Oldtimer collection. In a former factory building in Hersbruck, Franconia, the Dauphin family created a unique place of communication and a noble event location. A place of amazement, enjoyment and dreaming: the Dauphin Speed Event houses an outstanding collection of 160 precious automobiles and 300 motorcycles.