The Lerbach Round Table


News from The Lerbach Round Table

ECB strategy is positive for the stock market.

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6 die auswirkungen auf die kursentwicklung am aktienmarkt sind mittelfristig

Dear Readers,

The European Central Bank has given concrete form to its medium-term policy guideline. It will continue its bond purchase program until September 2018, but will reduce the monthly purchase volume from currently 60 to 30 billion.

However, the Lerbach Round does not see this as a fundamental turnaround in monetary policy. Instead, it interprets the ECB's plan as a signal that monetary policy will remain very loose.

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Lerbacher Runde urges caution.

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The slight easing in the trade conflict between the USA and the European Union makes it less likely that Donald Trump - as originally announced - will now be able to increase customs duties on cars from the EU in the near future.

However, according to the Lerbach Round Table, the trade issue is far from being off the table for investors. In the dispute between the USA and China there are still no signs of rapprochement. Investors - according to the professionals - should therefore be cautious in the coming months.

The Lerbach Round Table is a competence group of 40 bankers, family officers and asset managers that was founded in 2017 by private wealth and the asset manager Robeco. The aim is to provide wealthy investors with answers to current questions on all aspects of capital investment;

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Expertenrat – just in time.

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There are currently four questions driving the investment experts around:

The grace period is over - can Emmanuel Macron get France going? Bundestag elections - what would a black-yellow government bring to the German economy and the capital markets? Euro boom - how long will the upswing in the European currency last and what does it mean for Europe's export economy? Price targets reached in the US equity market - how should investors now trade?

// 01. Can Macron get France going?

Emmanuel Macron wants to reform the French labour market by the end of the summer. 84 percent of the experts believe that this plan will have a significant impact on the capital market. The chances of success are good. After all, two thirds of the respondents believe that Macron will achieve its first results by the end of September. As a litmus test, they see it as whether progress can be made on the following points against the resistance of the trade unions: Relaxation of protection against dismissal, breaking up compensation claims in the event of dismissal, flexibilisation in the drafting of employment contracts. Conditionality of unemployment benefits and abolition of the 35-hour week.

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