News from the editorial

  • Klaus Meitinger

"Wall Street celebrates the New Year."

Seismograph Sept 17

Dear Readers,

the capital market seismograph of the team of Professor Dr. Rudi Zagst (TU Munich) starts the year 2018, as he ended the year 2017 - in a buying mood. The stock market barometer continues to give the green light for equity investments in the USA. For a year now, the seismograph has been signaling a quiet market on Wall Street that is rising in line with the trend.

As you know, the scientists distinguish between three phases in the US equity market: "green" (quiet market = buy), "yellow" (turbulent market with positive expectation = invest, but with hedge) and "red" (turbulent market with negative expectation = do not invest).

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  • Klaus Meitinger

"Is the showdown starting?"

ifoindex Jan2018

Dear Readers,

the situation is getting worse. For the second time in a row, business expectations in industry have declined. Three consecutive declines would trigger a sell signal in the private wealth exchange model. We are therefore eagerly awaiting the results of the ifo economic survey in February.

This clouding of future prospects has been somewhat lost in the general euphoria. Finally, the business climate index as a whole rose again to the record level last reached in November.

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  • Klaus Meitinger

"Black Clouds on Wall Street - Selling."

Dear Readers,

A week ago the team around Professor Dr. Rudi Zagst and Oliver Schlick wrote to us. The capital market seismograph is still giving the green light for equity investments: "But that can change very quickly now. We have our finger on the sales button",

Today is the day. "The probability of a bear market has increased significantly. This has triggered a sell signal in our model. The model recommends significantly reducing the current equity quota," says Oliver Schlick.

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  • Klaus Meitinger

"Finger on sales button."

Dear Readers,

until Monday, the sky over Wall Street was still blue. Then dark clouds came up incredibly fast. The team led by Professor Dr. Rudi Zagst and Oliver Schlick therefore recalculated the capital market seismograph using current data;

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  • Klaus Meitinger

"We're out of here."

ifo index feb2018 Dear Readers,

the private-wealth stock market indicator delivered at the end of February ein Verkaufssignal . As you know, this is not about forecasting  Trendwenden exactly on the stock markets. However, we are trying to find out when the relationship between opportunity and risk changes when investing in equities. The logic: Wenn stocks are valued low and the economic trend improves, the probability is high that the stock market will develop positively in the long term. If, on the other hand, equities are expensive and economic expectations are worsening, it is time to become more cautious.

That's exactly what's happening today.

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