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  • Klaus Meitinger

Inspiration - Ideas for equity investment

In their search for promising securities, the experts of the Lerbach round currently distinguish between three categories with different risk and return patterns. The first, comparatively defensive category includes shares of companies whose prices are 15 to 20 percent below their pre-crisis level and which are very likely to return to their 2019 turnover level in 2022 - they are an anchor of stability for a portfolio.

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  • Klaus Meitinger

The future of money.

Opinions are divided on Bitcoin. For some, the crypto currency is digital gold - an alternative store of value in times of monetary dilution. They are fascinated by the fact that Bitcoin is designed as an "ultra-hard" asset. Critics, on the other hand, find it simply scary to trust an asset that they cannot "touch" and whose technology they do not fully understand. We think: Under certain circumstances, Bitcoin could become one of the most interesting investment opportunities in the coming years. It is therefore worth investing time to build up your own know-how in this area. The opportunity will be on June 2nd and 3rd. Value of Bitcoin will then take place from 13.00 to 20.00 - a digital conference where not only renowned Bitcoin researchers...

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  • Klaus Meitinger

The first step out of the economic slump.

Dear Readers, the mood among German companies has recovered somewhat after the catastrophic previous months. The ifo business climate index rose again in May. Although companies assessed the current situation as even worse than in April, expectations for the coming six months have improved. However, this was not to be expected any differently in view of the questions on the ifo Business Climate.

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  • Klaus Meitinger

Sentiment indicators give a false picture.

Dear Readers, The economic expectations surveyed by the Leibnitz Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) have just improved significantly. Specifically, the economic expectations rose from 28.2 to 51 points in May, bringing the index back to the level of spring 2015 and thus significantly above the pre-Corona prices. The current ultra-expansive monetary policy and the government rescue measures would have a positive impact. On balance, the experts surveyed by the ZEW are confident that the economy is turning the corner.

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  • Klaus Meitinger

Seismograph signals renewed improvement in the stock market climate.

The seismograph is a kind of weather forecast for the stock market. Using a complex mathematical model that includes both economic variables and direct market indicators, the model estimates the probability of three market conditions in the coming month. Green" means that a calm market with a positive trend is expected - investors can invest without hesitation. "Yellow" indicates a turbulent market with positive expectations - buying stocks is okay, but hedging is indicated. And "red" indicates a turbulent market with negative expectations. The advice is then: Do not invest. The editorial team uses these results to determine the short-term equity positioning within the range suggested by the private-wealth stock market indicator.

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