"The worst is yet to come."
Uwe Eilers, Geneon Wealth Management, is convinced that leaving the EU will damage Britain's economy in the long term. "Keep your hands off British assets."
I am well aware that it is not easy to argue against the current economic data. After all, the big slump in the British economy, which many had expected after the British Yes to Brexit, failed to materialise. On the contrary, the British stock market has performed very well. And many economists are currently revising their forecasts for economic growth upwards, so everything is green on the island?
Brexit risks are overestimated.
The pound depreciated significantly after the Brexit decision. "This will stimulate the economy," says Christian Jasperneite, M.M. Warburg: "British assets offer positive surprise potential."
Have you followed the current forecasts of economists on developments in Great Britain? Then you've probably noticed that most analysts have started to raise their expectations for economic growth on the island. In fact, three months ago they were still assuming a meagre increase of 0.9 percent for the current year. Today, the estimate is already at 1.4 percent;
The real D.J. Trump.
What will really change in the World Concert under a US President Donald J. Trump? Seit of the election, countless scientists, economists, analysts and political scientists have commented - private wealth summarizes their opinions.
In the Anglo-Saxon world, there is a hübschen Spruch if a person is to concretize their position or reveal their true character: "Will the real Donald Trump please stand up."
Before the US election, commentators outbid each other with negative forecasts in case Trump won. After the election - also under the impression of rising share prices - everything doesn't seem quite so bad anymore. This is of course associated with the expectation that the true Donald Trump would differ significantly vom Wahlkämpfer Trump. Or at least be slowed down by his republican party friends in Congress. "This, however, is pure hope", meint Markus Kaim, Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik: "In view of the majorities in Congress, Trump will be able to govern in the next two years. That he can be restrained in the process is reine Spekulation."
The economist with a mission.
Appreciation. Hans-Werner Sinn's terms of office as President of the ifo Institute and Professor at the LMU Munich will end on 31 March. Eine of the most influential voices of science in the economic policy debate is leaving the big stage.
"I want to bring rationality into the public debate," is how Hans-Werner Sinn describes his motivation. His arguments are like genes in the public discourse, which spread inexorably once they have been presented.